In March, before the coronavirus pandemic suspended the start of the baseball season, the Los Angeles Dodgers had the highest season win total at Caesars Sportsbook at 102.5.
Three months later, the Dodgers still have the highest win total; it’s just a little lower.
Caesars Sportsbook reposted season win totals for baseball’s condensed season Thursday. The Dodgers, at 37, and the New York Yankees, at 36.5, are the only teams with win totals to open higher than 35.
The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros each opened at 34.5 wins, followed by the Tampa Bay Rays, who opened at 34 at Caesars.
Jeff Davis, director of trading at Caesars, said the biggest adjustments his oddsmaking team made because of the shortened season was not setting the top teams’ win totals too high or the bottom teams’ win totals too low “given the smaller sample size.”
“We didn’t overthink it,” Davis told ESPN. “Pretty much all of the numbers are a reflection of what our numbers were when the pandemic hit.”
The Dodgers’ new total represents a slightly decreased win percentage — now .617 compared to .633 — and is equivalent to about 100 wins in a 162-game season.
Five teams opened with win totals of under 25: the San Francisco Giants (24.5), Seattle Mariners (24), Miami Marlins (23.5), Detroit Tigers (21.5) and Baltimore Orioles (20.5).
Teams will play their four divisional opponents 10 times each and five interleague opponents in the same geographical area four games apiece.
Four of the five National League East teams opened with win totals in the 30s, led by the Atlanta Braves at 33 and followed by the defending champion Washington Nationals (32.5), New York Mets (32) and Philadelphia Phillies (31).
The NL Central is tight in the oddsmakers’ eyes, with the Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals each opening at 31.5, with the Milwaukee Brewers right behind at 30.5.
Teams must play a minimum of 59 games for season win-total bets to be valid, according to Caesars Sportsbook’s rules.
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