The biggest Week 11 storyline in Fantasy football was quite clearly the performance of Taysom Hill in his first career start at quarterback,, and it may be for one more week. And there are two primary questions to answer around his play:
- Can Hill be a starting-caliber quarterback when he’s not playing the Falcons?
- How much of his target distribution will stick moving forward?
As for the first question, that depends on what type of league you’re in. In leagues that reward four points per passing touchdown, I feel pretty confident in Hill’s ability to be a top-12 option. In a standard CBS league, I still have questions. Hill scored 80% of the Fantasy points the Falcons have allowed to starters on average this season. His 24 Fantasy points matched the third-lowest output against them. That’s why I have him ranked as a borderline start against the Broncos, who are closer to a league-average unit; I feel more confident Hill will produce like a starter in Week 13 (against the Falcons again) than I do in Week 12.
As for the distribution, it’s worth noting that he threw just 23 passes Sunday. Michael Thomas saw more than half of them, and we know that won’t last. Hopefully that means Alvin Kamara can see a big boost from his one target in Week 11. Still, we expect that Hill’s pass volume will be among the league’s lowest, and mobile quarterbacks typically don’t throw to their running backs as often. You’re obviously starting Kamara regardless, but Hill’s presence may be enough reason to fade the Saints star back in DFS.
More Week 12 help: Waiver Wire | Trade Values Chart | RB Preview | WR Preview | Week 11 Winners and Losers | Believe It Or Not
Week 12 QB Preview
Numbers to know
- 7.5% — Matthew Stafford’s pass catchers lead the NFL in drop rate. It’s hard to start him unless Kenny Golladay returns.
- 297.8 — Matt Ryan is third in passing yards per game.
- 30.6% — Nick Mullens has been pressured on more than 30% of his drop backs and now he faces Aaron Donald and the Rams.
- 31 — Derek Carr has scored at least 22 Fantasy points in six of the seven games in which he’s attempted at least 31 passes.
- 50.8 — Daniel Jones’ rushing yards per game over his past five outings.
- 22.4 — Philip Rivers has averaged 22.4 Fantasy points per game in his last five games.
Matchups that matter
Waiver Wire Targets
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