May 26, 2022

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Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano prediction, odds, picks: Boxing expert reveals bets for May 14 title fight

4 min read

A unified championship is at stake Saturday when Jermell Charlo and Brian Castano meet in one of the most anticipated boxing rematches in 2022. Their 12-round main event headlines the card from Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. The opening bell for the main card is set for 9 p.m. ET. Castano (17-0-2, 12 KOs) and Charlo (34-1-1, 18 KOs) fought to an action-packed, controversial split draw last July, and their inevitable rematch has been in the works since. Charlo owns the WBC, WBA and IBF light middleweight belts, while Castano puts his WBO title at stake.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Charlo as the -220 favorite (risk $220 to win $100) in the latest Charlo vs. Castano odds, while Castano is the +180 underdog. The over-under for total rounds is set at 10.5, with the over juiced to -270. There are plenty of other Charlo vs. Castano props on the board such as if the fight will go the distance (yes -220, no +170). Before finalizing any Charlo vs. Castano 2 picks, make sure you check out the boxing predictions and betting advice from SportsLine analyst Brandon Wise. 

Wise, who is the combat sports editor for CBS Sports, is an experienced boxing and mixed martial arts analyst who has consistently provided winning selections for SportsLine members. He is coming off an impressive 2021 campaign that saw him hit numerous boxing selections in big-time matchups.

For instance, last November he predicted a stoppage victory between rounds No. 10 and 12 for Canelo Alvarez against Caleb Plant in their super middleweight unification bout. The proposition selection paid +450, and Wise also correctly called the fight to go over 9.5 rounds (-125) as Alvarez stopped Plant in Round 11. His strong 2021 campaign included calling Jamel Herring (+105) to upset Carl Frampton (-125) for the junior lightweight belt. Anyone who has followed Wise’s combat sports picks has seen some big returns. 

Now, with Saturday’s rematch in sight, Wise has studied Charlo vs. Castano 2 from every angle and identified the best value in the boxing odds. You can only see his confident prop bets and money-line picks at SportsLine.

Charlo vs. Castano 2 preview

Earlier this week, Castano held an open workout for the media and appeared relaxed and confident as he fielded questions afterward. In preparation for the rematch with Charlo, Castano said he and his camp worked on bringing a similar level of aggression but with an application of improved defense that limits Charlo’s ability to counter.

“We had a lot to learn from the first fight with Charlo,” Castano said. “One of the biggest things that I learned is to be more cautious at times while I’m in the ring. He’s powerful, but I’m going to bring my power, too. We learned from the first fight and we’re going to correct any errors we made.”

Castano also said that while he wasn’t surprised he and Charlo saw their first fight differently, he is in part motivated by his opponent’s insistence at new conferences leading up to the rematch that he won their initial meeting by four rounds.

“Our press conference was intense, and our exchanges definitely motivated me a lot,” Castano said. “He saw a different fight than I did if he saw himself winning eight rounds. I don’t know what he saw because I felt like I won by two points.”

Charlo used his speed, ring generalship and precise counterpunching to score points, and he had a couple of big late rounds. However, the power-punching Castano was the consistent aggressor and appeared to land a higher volume of damaging blows. Both fighters looked to be in trouble at various junctures. 

When the scorecards were announced, Charlo appeared visibly frustrated while Castano smiled and shrugged. An immediate rematch seemed to be a logical next step to both settle the rivalry and from a business standpoint because a second encounter was sure to draw serious public interest based on the action-filled first fight. 

However, the rematch that was originally scheduled for March had to be delayed while Castano healed from a shoulder injury suffered in training. Now he’s healthy and both fighters eagerly agreed to a new date. Both have insisted the rematch won’t be left to the ringside judges. 

How to make Charlo vs. Castano 2 picks  

Wise likes the over 10.5 rounds. He’s also revealed a strong money-line pick and he’s locked in a pair of prop picks, including one that returns 3-1. You can only see his boxing picks at SportsLine. 

Who wins Charlo vs. Castano 2 and which prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Brandon Wise’s best bets for Saturday, all from the CBS combat sports specialist who crushed his boxing picks in 2021, and find out.

CBS Sports Staff
2022-05-14 08:05:53

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