November 28, 2020

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Nevada vs. San Diego State odds, line: 2020 college football picks, predictions from model on 39-21 run

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Coach Jay Norvell and the Nevada Wolf Pack hit the big time Saturday when they take on the San Diego State Aztecs in a key Mountain West matchup. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET at Mackay Stadium in Reno in a matchup that will be televised by CBS. Nevada is 4-0 overall and 2-0 at home, while the Aztecs are 3-1 overall and 1-0 on the road. Nevada is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games, while San Diego State is 5-1 against the spread in its last six outings. The favorite in the series is 4-1-1 against the spread in the last six meetings.

The latest Nevada vs. San Diego State odds from William Hill Sportsbook have the Aztecs as 1.5-point favorites, down half a point from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 46.5. Before making any San Diego State vs. Nevada picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 39-21 on top-rated picks through 11 weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $1,000 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on San Diego State vs. Nevada. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill Sportsbook and trends for Nevada vs. San Diego State:

  • San Diego State vs. Nevada spread: Aztecs -1.5
  • San Diego State vs. Nevada over-under: 46.5 points
  • San Diego State vs. Nevada money line: Aztecs -125, Wolf Pack +105
  • SDSU: The Aztecs are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games.
  • NEV: The Wolf Pack are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six home games.

Why San Diego State can cover

The Aztecs rebounded from their 28-17 loss to San Jose State two weeks ago with a 34-10 victory over Hawaii last week. Running back Greg Bell paced San Diego State against the Rainbow Warriors, rushing for 160 yards on 19 carries with two touchdowns. Bell leads all Mountain West running backs with 537 rushing yards on 85 carries with five touchdowns.

San Diego State’s defense is the best in the conference, giving up just 243.5 yards and 12.8 point per game. That includes allowing just 152.3 passing yards per game.

Why Nevada can cover

Nevada quarterback Carson Strong has been sensational. The sophomore has completed 71 percent of his passes for 1,517 yards, 12 touchdowns and one interception. That’s already one more touchdown than he threw for as a freshman, and he is within 818 yards of equaling his 2,335-yard effort in 2019.

Romeo Doubs is the Mountain West’s leading receiver, and his 645 yards is 213 ahead of second place. Doubs has caught 31 passes, and his five-catch, 172-yard, three-TD outburst against New Mexico last week. Doubs’ 20.81 yards-per-catch average ranks 21st nationally among FBS receivers. 

How to make San Diego State vs. Nevada picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total as both quarterbacks throw for 230 or fewer yards. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins San Diego State vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nevada vs. San Diego State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $3,900 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

CBS Sports Staff

2020-11-21 12:20:52

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