exports surprise with 0.5% growth in November

BEIJING — China’s exports unexpectedly ticked higher in November, while imports fell slightly from a year ago, according to customs agency data released Thursday.

Exports in U.S. dollar terms rose by 0.5% from a year ago, contrary to expectations for a 1.1% decline, according to analysts polled by Reuters.

Imports fell in U.S. dollar terms by 0.6%, missing the Reuters’ forecast for a 3.3% increase from a year ago.

The muted change in trade did little to offset an overall decline by about 5% to 6% for China’s exports and imports for the first 11 months of 2023.

Bruce Pang, chief economist and head of research for Greater China at JLL, attributed the uptick in exports to businesses’ strategy of cutting prices to boost volume in recent months.

“External demand is still relatively weak, and holiday orders are lower than expected,” Pang said in Chinese, translated by CNBC.

“In general, the data show there are great challenges in both domestic and overseas demand, and policy support that only focuses on the supply side will not be able to achieve lasting results,” he said.

The value of China’s exports to the U.S. rose by 7% in November from a year ago, according to CNBC calculations of official data.

In contrast, China’s exports to the European Union fell by 14.5% year-on-year in November and those to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations fell by 7%, the analysis showed.

Overall, China’s exports of toys and electronics ticked higher, while that of cars maintained recent double-digit increases in November from a year ago. Clothes, shoes and furniture saw a drop in exports from a year ago.

On imports, China bought less from the U.S. and Southeast Asia in November than a year ago, while…