May 4, 2024

News and Political Commentary

The S&P 500 is on the verge of a technical breakdown. Here’s the sell signal to watch for.

2 min read
NYSE trader

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  • The S&P 500 is on the verge of a technical breakdown, according to Fairlead Strategies’ Katie Stockton.

  • Stockton said that 4,180 is a key support level that needs to be preserved to prevent further selling.

  • Extreme sentiment readings suggest to Stockton that a reversal in stock prices could be imminent.


The S&P 500 is on the verge of a technical breakdown, but Fairlead Strategies’ founder Katie Stockton says don’t sell stocks just yet.

That’s because oversold extremes are flashing for certain indicators, suggesting that a rebound could be imminent.

“The downdraft has the potential to yield a breakdown, but we would not sell into weakness with signs of intraday downside exhaustion supporting a rebound that could preserve support, or at least yield a better selling opportunity,” Stockton said in a Thursday note to clients.

Stockton is closely watch the support range of 4,180 to 4,195 on the S&P 500. A decisive breakdown below 4,180, typically marked by two consecutive weekly closes below that level, would be the signal to Stockton that the current risk-off nature of the stock market is set to extend and drive stock prices even lower.

Stockton’s support range for the S&P 500 slightly differs from the closely watched 4,200 level among technical analysts. Here’s what Stockton had to say about that on Wednesday.

“We have to look at these support levels as cushions, not precise points. They never are precise in that there’s just too many market participants to allow them to be that. Our support zone is actually 4,180 to 4,195, so it’s a bit lower than that 4,200 threshold,” Stockton told CNBC on Wednesday.

If 4,180 fails to hold as support for the S&P 500, Stockton identified 3,920 as the next support level to watch, which represents potential downside of 6% from current levels.

The S&P 500 traded below 4,180 for the first time since June on Thursday, trading to as low as 4,151.

But for now, Stockton is anticipating a potential reversal in…



2023-10-26 22:30:04

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